[climber]

Successful in what sense..him folding?

I'd estimate that works maybe 5% of the time...if your quite lucky.

If you don't discount any of your outs at all and you are sure you wont get 3-bet its almost exactly even.

Given your A and K outs aren't always good by themselves and you may get 3-bet I dont really like it here.

After the flop action I think this guy reads you for overcards and feels his pair is good .