Re: 15/30 - To 3-bet or not to 3-bet?
If I could bet 3 to win 8 that you lost this hand, I'd take it. 8:3 odds is still way too high I believe. You're not discounting the hands enough given the action. Very few players give this much action on a 3-flush board without the nut flush. 1.76 AF is very reasonable. I doubt he has anything less than the nut flush. I don't think he's capping a set anywhere near 1/2 the time he has one.
I think you're probably closer to 50/50 to have the best hand, maybe even a 60/40 dog. I'm certainly not folding, but I like check-call.
If you think you are an 8:3 favorite, check-raise the river.
good luck.
eric
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