Re: You think this is a leak?
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I posted this because it turns out this has a +0.9% expected value against Eastbay's default lag calling ranges. That's awfully high to pass up. I didn't know how big a value this was until I reviewed.
BTW, this is a $33 buyin.
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I think those calling ranges are too tight. You can't see SB or BB calling with KTs? I've seen that call a ton of times. How about A2s? Or 33? Or JTs? All calls I've seen. If you change the settings to maniac for both you get -0.9%. Maniac for 1 and loose for the other and you get -0.1%.
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Look at the stacks again. I have "seen" these calls too, and they stick out in my mind because, frankly, I was able to see them. But Kt and A2 are also folded probably 9 times for every time we "see" the call with that hand. We don't know what these guys are folding all the time because, they're not calling...having seen some suspect calls is not good enough evidence for putting such hands in hypo call ranges.
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