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Old 12-02-2005, 03:17 PM
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Default Re: Why Current Online Win Rates Won\'t Persist

why are people assuming the ratio of shark/fish brought in by 2nd and 3rd world countries will be the same as it is here. If(most likely when) people in mexico discover online poker; people who recognize it as a difficult place to make money WILL NOT take up the game. People who have dreams of making it big at the tables WILL NOT take up the game(when you are poor you are very practical and realistic, trust me). For the same reason people who want to have fun and do some gambling will not take up the game either. The people who will take up the game will be people who recognize their own intelligence and mental acumen and furthermore recognize they will be +ev at the tables. In america 9 out of 10 players will be losers. When people in mexico start playing this will not be the case. There will be many more sharks then fish coming into the game. And the fish are going to quit playing very quickly.

Someone mentioned sshe is only written in english. A very large number of educated people in other countries speak english. This is just another reason the ratio of sharks to fish will be greater.

It seems like people are picturing a family with walking sticks walking to the river to get water supply and living off chickens in their backyards is what 2nd and 3rd world countries are.

In Mexico, in Belize, in Brazil, in India, in China, there are very intelligent people that get paid small wages. If they become aware of the wages people are making playing poker they are definately going to look into the game. These guys are not going to take up nano limits for profit. Maybe just to get aquainted with the game. They will play lowstakes and up. As the tables become tighter they will continue to play where many american "play to live" players will not.
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