grunch...this is for the 66 in BB flopped boat

Well you thought you had ridiculous implied odds to make your hand. You got a BB discount on the flop, so you were paying 3 BB to get into a pot with 21.5 sb, thats your 7:1 right there that you need to see the flop! [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] And if you think about implied odds, you were completely right about getting a lot of action--your implied odds ended up being 40.5:3 (not counting the money you put into the pot later, which you dont lose if you miss the flop.)

So the EV of this play is pretty high IMO without actually running the calculation.

Ah what the hell, why not:
You lose (7/8) * 3SB when you miss.
You win (1/8) * 21.5SB when you flop it, assuming the hand ends there. You can expect at least 6-8 more BB into the pot I would think since donks will be overplaying overpairs. Lets go with 7 more BB you can expect to win on later streets, which is still probably conservative as we have seen from the action in this hand.

EV = -(7/8)*1.5BB + (1/8)17.75BB = -1.31BB + 2.22BB
EV = +0.91BB (at least)

Looks like a good play to me.

Somebody let me know if I did that right.

Steve