Re: QQ Turn Play
If we bet and get check/raised, the pot will be 7 BB with a decision to us. Including a river bet, we will be getting 4:1 (8:2) to call down, and I think that we're ahead way more than 25% of the time. I see passive players go nuts on paired boards all the time, both online and live.
In fact, I was about to make the same type of laydown at a live 5/10 game against a guy who never raised unless he had 2-pair or better, and he raised me on the turn with a 6 on a 644 board. The boards aren't similar, but that was just an example of passive players going nuts on a paired board.
I think we're ahead here, and that villain will call way too often to miss a turn bet here.
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