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Old 12-01-2005, 11:28 PM
MCS MCS is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 143
Default Re: N. Illinois vs. Akron -- Am I missing something?

FWIW my beloved Sagarin predictor lines this game at 13.2 on a neutral field. There may be some kind of injuries involved that I don't know about, but the numbers alone don't point to this being a +EV bet.

If I had to bet my life I guess I'd pick Akron, because 14 is a key number and the spread is slightly more generous than Sagarin "thinks it should be" anyway.
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