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Old 12-01-2005, 03:30 PM
Nick C Nick C is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 1,582
Default Re: I win, now what?

Some reasons to raise now:

(1) You may get paid off, which is an improvement over having Villain induce a bluff on the river from your AK after you call the turn (if he would do that).

(2) Some cards (A, K, J) will make it harder to get paid off on the river, if Villain holds a medium pair or a hand like T9s.

(3) Like Smiley points out, raising in this spot combines well with bluff-raises in other hands, if Villain has a tendency to take bet-fold lines.

(4) If Villain has a 5-outer, it's not a tragedy if he folds.


Some reasons to call:

(1) You'd prefer that Villain not fold a two-outer, if he would have paid off a bet unimproved on the river.

(2) Villain may have seen enough river bluff-raises from 2/4 donks that he's more suspicious of a river raise than a turn raise and will be more likely to call.

(3) A call here fits in well with a call with AK or AJ.


I'm sure those lists are not complete. The decision seems close to me. Generally speaking, I think you're better off raising immediately in this spot at 2/4, but Villain doesn't sound like a typical opponent.
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