Re: Party 10/20: KQo SB vs. CO steal
Okay, he may have:
Calling hands:
15 combos of AQ (discounting AQ [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img])
15 combos of A8
15 combos of A4
15 combos of T9 (he will raise but that's not really relevant)
30 combos of pocket pairs 33, 55-77, TT (discounting 22 for unlikely preflop raise and potential cap of TT preflop)
Folding hands:
10 combos of AT (really 15, but I think it is a possible he would fold on the flop, discounting it to 10).
9 combos of KQ
He would fold KT on the flop.
So somehow I guess you were right (and I wrong). He will fold a bit more often than 1/7 (appx. 1/6). If we knew he would bluff when checked to I guess a bet-fold is correct functioning as a bluff protection (protecting our pot equity since we can't call with KQ but bet with it (very marginal situation [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img])) ; but as others point out I think he won't bluff very often and a check-fold is correct.
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