Re: TT Deep Stacks, Play This Along With Me
A call prob wont slow this guy down the way it should if he is a moron. What kind of moron is he? Will he do this with a big hand or a draw like 78. 9As is definately in his hand range. I am gonna tend to discount a set here. If we just call, we will likely be looking at another big turn bet, as he will think we are calling with "missed overs" If he sucks. This is a REALLY tough spot to play. Im gonna flop, and if me makes another move on the turn, I might even play back at him. If he is the kinda donkey I think he is, then his range here is something like.
[97-9A, 77-AA (99 not included), 78s/o, 69s, 45s, MAYBE even 63s].
Against that range...
85,140 games 0.111 secs 767,027 games/sec
Board: 9c 6h 3s
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 57.3861 % 56.80% 00.59% { TdTs }
Hand 2: 42.6139 % 42.02% 00.59% { TT+, 88-77, A9s, K9s, Q9s, J9s, T9s, 96s+, 87s, 63s, 54s, A9o, K9o }
This is without weights (and my first, albeit sloppy attempt at poker stove analysis). I think it is less likely we are up against kk and aa, and 63, so that gives you some more equity, but prob not enough to raise here. I also discounted sets because I think it is VERY unlikely he has one, given your description of him, I would expect a c/minraise or c/c c/r turn with a set. The question really is, if we call (which I think you probably did) what do we do on the turn.
Obviously if UTG wakes up we are done with the hand.
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