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Old 12-01-2005, 12:16 PM
Superfluous Man Superfluous Man is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Ann Arbor, MI
Posts: 84
Default Re: Interesting hand from the Bellagio 2k tournament

Taling about the 2nd call first, becaus that is how I roll: Even if you're up against AK and AQ (instead of QQ and 87s) you're still only a 4:1 dog getting 4.5:1. However, if AA is lurking out there, you plummet to something like a 12:1 dog. Is AA a likely enough holding to push this into being a -EV call? I kind of doubt it, but it decreases your edge. Also, winning this pot will give you a massive stack, so I like gambling here.

I'm not a fan of the first call, I would almost certainly just fold it. I remember reading somewhere that AJ isn't +EV from early position because of the likelihood that one of the 8 or 9 hands behind it will be a large favorite against it (not sure if this is true at all). So, simply jamming, while it could get something like AQ to fold, is a bad move IMO. To me, it seems calling almost forces you into making a razor-thin +EV call later on this street. Or, worse, if one of the LP players simply calls (I assume there are some stacks that are similar in size or bigger than yours yet to act) it forces you to play a huge pot OOP with AJ. Ugh.
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