[WalkAmongUs]

I see your point but I disagree. Your analysis only takes into account 1 person with a weak draw, DwG. I think you must try to protect here against any hand with 6 outs or less. You didn't take into account any of these hands. You gained at most 3.5 SB on the flop. Winning this pot more often (even if its only 5% more often) will MORE than surpass this.

I'll say it again, the pot is larger, we should be trying to win it rather than extract every last SB.

Also, read on MP3 is aggressive. He also was raiser PF. I'm almost certain if you had just called on the flop MP3 would have bet this a large amount of the time. I think seeing him fold to the reraise may be influencing the estimation of the amount of times he will bet the turn if just called on the river.