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Old 11-30-2005, 06:35 PM
Toonces Toonces is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Chicago area
Posts: 31
Default Re: Textbook wait for turn in huge pot?

I agree that you should NOT wait until the turn to raise. For you to be willing to forego your flop equity, 2 factors need to be in effect:

1) You need to know that villian is going to bet the turn. I think that he is about 50% or less to bet the turn here.

2) You need to know what your "scare" cards are to know when to slow down on the turn. Clearly the spade is a scare card. however, a Q, J, or T could be bad, but is more likely to be very good, as it makes someone a worse 2 pair. If you don't know whether to slow down on paint, the flop call loses a LOT of value.

Finally, your flush callers are going to profitably call all the way, whatever you do. While the nut flush caller may profit from each additional bet, he's not making the money from you as you have equity as well. At least one person out there is probably drawing dead and providing you with equity.
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