Re: KQo Live at the Wynn <3
The turn is really close, as everyone else has noted. I am lazy and tend to just approximate to about 7.5 outs, so its pretty marginal. Obviously flush draws significantly alter this.
Is UTG+2 the type to wait for a safe turn? I know he is loose preflop, but you also said he was decent. If he had a flush draw I would expect a bet on flop if anywhere, not turn. However he might not do that in fear of you raising and knocking out SB. So why would he lead the turn with a flush draw, a time where most draws prefer to play cheaply? I would expect a flush from SB more than UTG.
Anyway, I would have a tough time on this one. If SB looked pissed about the raise I'm calling. I'm probably calling anyway. For some reason I don't think UTG+2 has flush. But at same time, w/ two pair that is a tough river raise. But, He may think you have overs and not put enough thought into implications of that river, and he may think SB is just terrible.
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