Re: should this river be raised for value
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Given the reads and the way in which the hand played out, I'd have a difficult time not raising here. I think it's fairly likely we're ahead here, and we shouldn't allow the flush possibility to deter us from value raising.
You only need to be good around 33% of the time to justify raising. I think you definitely satisfy this requirement.
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I like raising, but this is not true. A player can fold when we raise and we'll often get 3-betted by a flush, but not a worse hand.
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