Re: Chance of winning
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Allegedly, the following is MEANT to work to tell you the odds of hitting on the next card (figures in percentages).
On the turn - multiply the number of outs by 4.
On the river - multiply the number of outs by 2.
In this particular case, you've got pretty decent odds of hitting your outs - 4x12, assuming the flush isn't on and your opponents don't have any 9, 10, J or Q, = 48% of hitting one of your outs. Hitting an out on the river is 2x11 = 22%.
However, with 6 opponents, your equity is reduced considerably (48/6 = 8%) (22/8 = 2.75%).
Which works for me if I've got time to work it out...
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Problem with the above calculation is that you only have 6 outs on the flop, not 12. (3 Queens and 3 Jacks). I don't know how zyg is coming up with 12 outs.
So you have a 24% chance of hitting on the turn, and a 12% chance of hitting on the river, but as noted by zyg, this doesn't mean you have the nuts (of course).
Generally, fold your overcards when you don't hit on the flop. Not an absolute... depends on who you're up against, what you've read them for, etc., etc. It's amazing how many players chase with overcards at the casinos. I LOVE those players! [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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