[Lloyd]

With these stacks this seems like a hand that Jason will have to commit to fully. Meaning one way or another the rest of the villain's chips and (some more of) Jason's chips will be in the pot on the flop. The villain raises about 2/3 of his stack. Jason can't call that and then fold on the flop.

So I wouldn't look at the odds the way you did. I would figure the odds based on the villain being all in (raising to t48430). So there will be t74030 in the pot costing Jason t30630. So Jason is getting 2.5 to 1 odds here. Is that enough? It could be that based on the way the villain played that Jason was pretty sure he was up against a big pair. In that case, if he was just playing around he'd need at least 2.5 to 1 if not 3 to 1 to make a call profitable. Factor in meta game issues and that whatever trash he raised with will be shown and it's a close call.