[Shandrax]

Forget my previous posting!

If you check and he bets there is $1600 in the pot and it costs $300 to call = 5.33:1

What can you beat?
A-K (16)
A-Q (16)
K-Q (16)
Q-9s (4)
Q-8s (3)
A-xs (32)
K-xs (32)
6-6 (12)
4-4 (12)
2-2 (12)
BLUFF
= 155 + x

What beats you?
A-A (12)
K-K (12)
Q-Q (12)
J-J (6)
T-T (6)
9-9 (12)
8-8 (6)
7-7 (6)
5-5 (6)
A-J (12)
K-J (12)
Q-J (12)
A-T (12)
K-T (12)
Q-T (12)
J-T (9)
J-9 (12)
T-9 (12)
J-8 (9)
T-8 (9)
9-8 (12)
6-4 (16)
= 229

There are 229 combinations to beat you. Given the 5.33:1 odds you only need 43 combinations to beat him order to break even. If you scratch some foolish combinations that will never go to the river (2-2, Q-8s and such) from the list and leave him with just 2 high overcards (A-K, A-Q, K-Q) you are still well over 43 combinations that you can beat and bluffs on his part are not even counted.

Without much of a read on the opponent I can't see how a fold in this situation can be justified. Sorry, but it's a clear check/call and nothing else.

If I am wrong on this, then I will throw my copy of "Play Poker like the Pros" out of the window [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]