Re: Stupid bluffing idiots that get lucky
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Look, there seems to be a lot of debate on this subject and, in my opinion, it's all for naught.
A number of respected posters are saying that Sponger has a pair. And really, that's a pretty fair analysis. A pair can beat a lot of things. Jack high for instance.
But then other people are trying to bring math into this equation. As if a bunch of numbers on a page can possibly show what's in your opponent's soul! Unless you're talking about reverse implied folding odds I don't need to hear the math.
So here's a solution. You're both right. Each hand had a 50% equity on the flop. Both hands had two outcomes: it would win or it would lose. Ergo, 50% of the time one or the other happens.
Both players played perfectly. Winning poker isn't much better than a coinflip anyway.
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omg.
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