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Old 11-28-2005, 06:46 AM
ohnonotthat ohnonotthat is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: New Jersey - near A.C.
Posts: 511
Default Re: Accuracy of short term standard deviation?

Your adjusted SD is determined by taking your hourly SD (or your per 100 hand SD as most online players calculate it) and dividing it by the square root of the number of hours (100 hand units) played.

Example:

You have a SD of $ 1,000 per 100 hands.

You go on to play 10,000 hands over the next month and decide to recalculate your SD.

There are one hundred 100-hand-units in 10,000 [hands].

The square root of 100 is 10.

Your $ 1,000 per-100-hand SD can now be adjusted (lowered) to $ 100 per 100 hands.

The bad news is that you'll need to play 30,000 more hands to cut the new figure in half and 150,000 more hands to cut THAT figure in half.

The good news is that with online play you are able to do in a year what most old-timers were unable to do in a lifetime.

If you play 2 games at once and see 50 hands/hr/game (100 hands/hr) you'll see 1,000 hands in a 10 hour day.

It would take a week for most live players to play 1,000 hands; if you play 4 games at once you can equal 2 of his weeks in a day - or one of his years in a month.

Three years of online poker equals more hands than most live players see in a lifetime; 5 yrs of fulltime online play is more poker than ANY live player ever saw.

The world it is a'changin.
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