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Old 11-28-2005, 04:34 AM
NLSoldier NLSoldier is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: St. Cloud, MN
Posts: 91
Default Re: Can I call a river bet with T-high?

[ QUOTE ]
This is a badcall for the following reasons:
Cards you lose to:
Ace, duece, trey, 4, k, a, q, j, (any other pp)

Any combination of these cards make up how many hands? A lot. 9/13 types of cards beat you. The pot is miniscule. The chance that between both of his hole cards he has none of the above cards is small.

[/ QUOTE ]

this is a terrible way of looking at it. Villian absolutely does not have a 2,3, 4 or PP here,(because he didnt raise flop or bet turn) and does not have ace high either, because he didnt 3bet preflop (so he cant have a good ace high, and he wont value bet the river with a bad ace high.)

He also very likely does not have queen high, because he *knows* ace high isnt folding and jack high isnt calling.

so take out the hands with an ace, 2, 3, 4, Q, and you are left with the times he has a King or jack.

Now its much closer.
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