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I'm trying to prove that it can be profitable over the long term by selectively betting on large NFL favorites at widely available lines.

also, how long do you plan on posting these? since there are few favorites of > 7 each week and you are 'selective' it should only take 10+ years for your record to mean close to anything. so basically you will never 'prove' anything.

i had cincy this week also. in a teaser down to -2.5 along with indy, which is blindly +EV and clearly the best way to bet this side.

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Regardless of where you stand on this issue, you gotta admit that this sounds like someone who is afraid that he's going to be proven wrong. If he were really confident, he would just wait for me to make my picks and eventually I would fail.