Re: 33 in blind war
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1. He has 86s and the board comes KT3
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Thank you for reminding us you might hit a set. The chance that he might not actually have his six outs because of a set or domination is very real.
I guess you really wanted KT2? If he bluffs the flop with 86 and checkfolds the turn that is 1 SB versus a chance to win 9 SB by hitting on the turn. Slightly +EV for him compared to checkfolding but no big deal. But if he fires a second or even third barrel then he loses heavily. Overall this case is not bad for the preflop call.
I could make a similar argument about case #2 but really I'm not sure you can get your flop fold here anyway.
Case #3 makes me wish I had reraised preflop. You might actually pull this off although it's far from a lock. Move one of the spots into the playing zone and he'll sweat a lot more.
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