Re: Converting ML to points
wow... you asked for the stats and I gave them.
Personally, I think there is a small difference from game to game on what the proper ML should be given the same point spread. I don't think it is easily predictable though and for the most part just taking the results from past games at the previous spread should do fine for predicting the "correct" moneyline.
That wasn't the point of my post though. The point was that on average, teams that are -5 -110 in the NBA win the game about 2/3 of the time and thus, adding in the vig, -215 on the moneyline is roughly equivalent to -5 -110.
|