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Old 11-26-2005, 11:22 PM
TomBrooks TomBrooks is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: .5/1 Full Hand
Posts: 671
Default Re: Whats Your Loss Percentage With AA? Limit Hold\'em Survey

I have 56,700 hands and have been dealt AA 250 times which is 11 times or 4% less than the average of once every 220 hands.

My W/L/T record with it is 182/68/1. That's 73% wins and 27% losses.

My longest losing streak is 3 in a row which has happened several times.

Using 27% as an average loss rate, the chances of losing with AA 3 times in a row are .27 x .27 x .27 = 2% or 1 in 50.

The chances of losing 4 times in a row would be 0.5% or 1 time in 200. I'm slightly overdue for that to happen.

The chances of losing 5 times in a row would be 0.14% or 1 time in 700. I'll expect that to happen approximately once by the time I reach 150,000 hands.

What's the most times in a row you've lost with AA?

Relevant comments welcome.
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