[Snarf]

You're wrong. (but I only said it 'cuz your title told me to)

Reverse implied odds - dude. You have to factor in the % of times that you will hit your draw - and still lose.

a couple examples:

a) Board: 4 h 5 h 6s
You have: Ac 7c
You have 8 outs to win the hand w/your straight...but only 6 outs if your opponent has a hand like Ah 6h.
b) Board: 4 s 5s Jc
You have: 8 s 9 s
Opponent: As Jd
You have 8 (not 9) outs for your flush = BUT you need to hit exactly ONE spade to win.

c) Board: 2c 8c 2d
You have: K c Q c
Opponent: A s 2 s
You can win with any club - but you need to avoid the last 2, any 8, ace or the pairing of the turn card on the river.

d) You have A s Q d
Board reads: K d Qs 5 h
w/all the betting goin on you think you figure you're behind and need to catch up...but how do you know how many outs you have?
If your opponent has A K you have TWO outs.
KJ gives you 5 outs
55 means you need runner runner for full house
KK means drawing dead.


Coolio?