View Single Post
  #3  
Old 11-25-2005, 08:50 PM
A_K A_K is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Colorado
Posts: 51
Default Re: Confused about my results.

Two explanations, in decending order of liklihood: (1) variance. It takes a startlingly large number of hands for your observed winrate to converge with your true winrate. I suspect that this is particuarly true for games like .25/.50, which are typically loose and wild, generating larger variance (but hopefully a higher win rate in the long run) than tighter games. (2) If your "regular" site is tigher than the sites where you have whored bonuses, you are not adjusting your game for the loosness of the other sites (or vice versa). TPTK hads go down in value in multi-way action, for example, while drawing hands go up.

Get poker tracker, it will give you a much better sense of your play, win rate, variance, etc.
Reply With Quote