Re: Getting Cute
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As a general rule, I dislike the tired old mantra "Well, I had to bet because it's the only way I could win"....
But in this particular case, checking clearly can't be right so if betting is wrong, it is LESS wrong. I actually don't mind being called down here and showing AJ. It's the next best thing to getting called and winning. You should be able to profit from this later if you're slick.
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I'm not sure I understand. Is this bet ever getting called by a worse hand? I don't think so. Then how often is it making a better hand fold? JJ or TT never fold here, will they? How often does AK fold? 30%, 40%, 80%? I really have no idea how to guess this.
I think this is one of those situations, however, that can't be evaluated in black/white terms. Betting this river every time can't be optimal, and neither can checking it, can it?
lf
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