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Old 11-25-2005, 01:41 AM
adamstewart adamstewart is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: London, Ontario, Canada
Posts: 385
Default Re: ATo Heads up on the flop...horribly misplayed?

Here's the thing, when most opponents raise this flop in this situation, they either have a pair or a flush draw (maybe a straight draw).

Calling the flop raise correct imo, since not only do we decent odds to improve, but we also may have the best hand.

Checking the turn is the next best play - with the probable intent of folding to a bet here, especially at $3/$6 where outright bluffing is less likely.

However, this guy checks the turn through, indicating he's taking a free card for his draw and/or he's not overly confident in his pair. Accordingly, when the 6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] falls on the river, this completes most likely draws.

Therefore, check/folding the river is likely best play here. As by now, most of the time he'll either have a completed draw or still has a pair (both of which beat us).


Note: people may often also raise this flop with overcards. But one has to wonder, if this guy has high cards, why didn't have 3-bet you preflop? Further, you're still beat by hands like AJ, AQ, AK anyway.



All in all, I don't think calling the river bet is going to win this hand more than the required 1 in 6.5 times.


Adam
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