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Old 11-24-2005, 12:28 PM
slavic slavic is offline
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Join Date: May 2003
Location: \"Let me make it nearly unanimous -- misplayed on every street.\"
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Default Re: Do You Really Have 9 OutsTo A Flush Draw??

[ QUOTE ]
If 20 cards are dealt, then on average 5 of each suit will be dealt. If you are suited then you can assume that on average 3 other cards of your suit were already dealt. So once you flop a flush draw you would only have 6 outs in reality on average.

Is it better to assume we have 6 outs to a flush instead of 9??

[/ QUOTE ]

It doesn't matter what those other 18 cards are because they are unknown. We assume 9 outs because of the 47 unknown card on the flop 9 of them improve us. Now as known cards come up we can certainly discount outs along with reduce the number of unknown cards.
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