Re: i think this is a surprisingly complex foxwoods hand,,,
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This is bad timing for a blind steal, in my opinion. As I pointed out, the blinds do barely anything for you $EV wise, so you're risking substantially for not much gain. If all we're interested in is the blinds, why not wait until we have 72 on the button, which would probably be a higher EV play?
I guess my point is that JJ just isn't dominant enough to make this a substantial money winner, from what I've looked at so far. I must admit, I was expecting it to be an easy, easy fold; the numbers are closer to neutral than I would have guessed.
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i'm not saying that you should push. i'd fold. i'm just saying that it's ridiculous to say that increasing your stack doesn't help in any meaningful way. any analysis that doesn't give a signficant boost to equity after stealing can't be right.
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