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Old 11-23-2005, 03:31 PM
atrifix atrifix is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 13
Default Re: Behe careful

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Some people here are crying for quantification and you are right. Youve got to look at the math and the specifics. Just as a rough example - The odds of picking one correct number in a lottery with 4 numbers is one in 10 to the 4th power - or 1 in 10,000. But if I tell you that you have 1,000 numbers that are winners your odds aren't that bad. But what if the lottery has 1 million numbers and you only have 1,000 chances (the corvette, the porshe, the boat and the plane etc...). So whether you have one chance or a thousand chances at a lottery with one million digits doesn't really change the argument of the likelyhood of winning.

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It doesn't? Your odds of winning at least once with one chance in a million are 1/10^(10^6), your odds of winning at least once with 1,000 chances in a million are 10^3/10^(10^6). Your odds of winning at least once with infinite chances for a finite probability >0 are always at least 1. That is, if there was ANY (finite) probability that the universe/life/etc. would have come together in the way it did, and there was an infinite timeline for that to happen, then it would have happened with certainty.
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