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Old 11-23-2005, 11:49 AM
betgo betgo is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 792
Default Re: Super Tuesday Final Table Hand vs. Chip Leader

I am not crazy about raising the tournament leader's blinds with AT either.

However, now that you got there, I don't like folding. He might call the raise and lead the flop with a probing bet with anything. This is a flop that is likely to hit a lot of hands, but villain could easily just have a piece of it.

I think you have to atleast call the weak bet with your gutshot and overcard.

However, I like a push. You are a 7-3 dog against Qx or Jx, 4-1 dog against QJ or AQ, and a 5-1 dog agisnt 66. There is a lot of money in the pot. Even if villain has a pair, you are not that chip EV- with pot odds. Villain may have nothing and probably can't call with second pair. I think semibluff push is a good play.

Look at it from villain's perspective. You raised the ship leader's blinds. Couldn't you have AA, KK, QQ, JJ, 66, AQ, or KQ? It's hard for him to call a push without atleast top pair.
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