[MCS]

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If the predictor is so bad, why do experts use it to predict games?

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I'd like to see an expert who would set Mich. St. as a point spread favorite against any of the three teams I mentioned.

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MSU is 0.05 ahead of Iowa.
MSU is 1.31 ahead of Wisconsin.
MSU is 4.94 ahead of Northwestern.

So what this says is that MSU, Iowa, and Wisconsin are all pretty close, and that all three are clearly better than Northwestern, but not by a ton. None of this strikes me as incorrect.

EDIT: I do compare predictor numbers to the actual lines, and they're almost always very close. So I think the line would be about 0 against the first two teams, and about 4 against Northwestern. Maybe Iowa or Wisconsin would be favored by a point or two because of public perception. Any more than that, and I'm on MSU.

When Alabama was playing LSU, everyone thought Bama was such a steal as a home dog. Predictor had LSU favored by about 2.