Re: A9s vs. turn screwplay
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How often do you think a 5/10 unknown is pulling a screwplay bluff in the hand I posted?
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I'd estimate 10% of the time. IOW, most of the time it's legit. In your hand, it didn't really matter if it was legit or not -- you had a draw to the nuts, so you were never folding the turn. The river is a minor question, since you do have a pair and can thus beat a bluff, but I don't think your hand is good often enough to make a river call profitable.
The problem comes when you have a hand like KJ, flop Jxx, and get screwplayed. Do you fold or call down?
EDIT: My original guess was a bit high. The more I think about it, whenever I've called these down I've been shown a monster a vast majority of the time.
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