Re: Can I value bet this river?
I think checking this down is fine. What will villain call with that we beat? KK or QQ? He knows those hands are no good, since we have to have either a flush, a set, or an A. AQ/AJ/AT might call but aren't consistent with the action on earlier streets. He'll call with TT, but then again he might be sitting on AA as well.
Furthermore, the threat of a check-raise is very real here. If villain is a decent TAG, why didn't he clarkmeister this river? Probably because he's looking at something like K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and wants to induce a bet from a hand that is known to be strong.
There aren't many 2nd-bets hands for villain to pay off with, and he might already have his mouse hovering over the "raise" key. Looks like a good time to just show down.
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