[Paluka]

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So what happened was a 20:1 shot or worse that Paluka just happened to witness? O rly. That seems quite a bit long to me. Not 1 in 10 but fewer than 1 in 20 unknown Party 30 players is this goofy. You might be right. I'm skeptical.

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I witnessed a 1 outer once. Does that mean it wasn't a 1 outer? A 1 in 20 shot isn't all that rare.

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Thanks, but you might address the question. Do you think fewer than 1 in 20 unknown 30 players makes this play? I'm really interested in your and other's opinions.

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Honesty, I thought it was very close whether to fold or call. I was getting something like 10 to 1. I would say I win the pot there at least 5% of the time, but I'd be really surprised if I won it more than 1 time in 6. When the hand went down I thought to myself "I think I'm folding, but this could be wrong." But asking me is pointless- I obviously thought it was close that is why I posted the hand.
It is possible that if you are going to call the turn in this spot, you should just always call the river.