Re: MNF 11/21 total - UNDER (middle opportunity)
I don't have any idea as to the percentages in NCAABB so I can't help you there but, how do you figure you're only risking $125?
Maryland wins by >3 you win $850-$1070 = (-$220)
Gonzaga wins you win $1000-$1130.5 = (-$130.5)
so your average risk is about $175 and it's not balanced so you'll be rooting for the Bulldogs (assuming the middle doesn't come through).
Assuming 1,2 & 3 are all equally likely you're risking about $175 to win an average of about $1520 ($1850 on 1 or 2, $850 on 3) so you need to catch one of these numbers about 11%-12% to break even. Sounds high, but as I said I don't know the breakdown for NCAA hoops margins.
EDIT: Typo $850-$1070 = -$220
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