[elindauer]

[ QUOTE ]
I open from the hijack with K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] in the party 30-60 game. SB folds, BB (19.2/12.1/2.7) calls.

BB bets out on a 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] board.

{fold call raise}?
I'm guessing {0.5 0.15 0.35} for me. Other people's distributions?

[/ QUOTE ]

Now we're talking! First, some quick suggestions on the formatting:

Let's write these the same way, like this:

FCR {50, 15, 35}


Now, how do we get the numbers in this case?

Let's do it step-by-step.

Step 1. What is your hand range on the flop? Thats is, tell us exactly what hands and how often for each (if it's not 100%) you would have raised from the button in this hand.


At the same time, we need to find an overall mixed strategy for handling this donkbet with our entire range of hands. What should that be? Once we have this range, we'll look at your overall range and see where KQ fits into the mix.

Some quick thoughts are that

a) he should profit if we have nothing, so we can't continue 100% of the time
b) that profit should be about equal to his losses if we have something, so folding everything but overpairs is too tight

I've done a lot of posting and math here today... anybody else want to take a stab at these numbers for our overall range?

-Eric