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Old 11-21-2005, 05:49 PM
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Default Re: I know I have the worst hand... so I raise.

If, in fact, BB has AA 1/4 of the time he will have the A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]; your flush "outs" are no good 1/4 of the time. Furthermore you may be drawing dead if the CO has the flush already. Your hand is further devalued b/c you can make your hand only to have it beaten; you can easily make your hand and be beaten. I think there are better places for your money.

Scratch that, you've got 2 people to act behind you. There are MUCH better places for you money. Granted you may get someone with a J or Q high flush draw out but I don't think that's worth 2 big bets here. You are buying some outs but they are not clean ones. Even though the pot is big it's not huge. You want to win it, but you don't want to pay too much to have a 20% better chance of winning it.

Feel free to critique my math; it's by no means precise but I think the theory is sound. . .
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