Re: blind steal gone wrong
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Capping the river makes little to no sense. He only called the turn raise, but is now bet/3-betting the river on a card that could have only improved his hand to a boat or higher-flush.
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What hands is he 3-betting PF with that make him a boat on the river? Maybe 66. And add a slowplayed 88.
The river cap costs 1 BB and we need to be ahead 50% of times. I can see losing to a higher flush (ATs+, KQs) or 88 and less likely 66. I can see us being ahead of 77, maybe A7 and the usual suspects AA,KK,QQ.
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Again, why do you think he's not 3-betting the turn with AA-QQ, but 3-betting the river after the 3rd flush comes?
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