Thread: Assessment
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Old 11-19-2005, 11:48 AM
pzhon pzhon is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 66
Default Re: SnG = Variance

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I've played SNGs and they have the highest variance except for MTTs. You can read threads about it in the SnG forum.

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Most of those threads are filled with ignorance. People whine about variance in SNGs even when it is significantly lower than the variance they would experience in limit ring games.

Of course, if your ROI/win rate is low, then you will experience larger swings. This is true if you are a marginal winner in any form of poker. It is behind the constant assertions that the variance is huge in 6-max games despite contradictory evidence from PokerTracker.

Many 1TT forum regulars play on Party, where the rapid blind increases decrease the advantage of winning players but shorten the tournaments, and they have adopted marginally winning styles they can execute while playing 8+ tables. These choices increase the sizes of swings, but they are not universal. For me, SNGs have about the same variance as NLHE, and significantly less than LHE.
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