[Mathieu]

I'd prefer a real read of what he raises with, but 200 hands is a decent sample for these numbers.

3.1 is a high aggression factor for someone who has v$ip of 28. I am thinking he probably goes too far with his hands so he could be doing his fare share of spewing. But yet again he could have just caught some big flops this session.

Is he raising this flop HU with a hand like 77-TT, or even KQ? I'm thinking he might be trying to move you off a big pair.

The problem with calling the flop is that villain will rarely check the turn if he is trying to push you out. So you end up calling down all the way or calling in hopes that a J or an A (making you more confident)falls on the turn. You have no backdoor draw and there are no draws that villain could be raising.


If we do the math: calling down costs us 5 more sb when behind and makes us about 11 sb when ahead (he might check behind on the river). This is a rough estimate but it seems like we need to be good about 1 time out of 3. I think you have to fold because there are too many Ax combinations that he could have that beat you (that he can raise in CO). It seems like he has to raise almost every time in this situation with a 66-TT to justify a call down. I doubt that he is this aggressive.

Anyways the best advice I can give you is to take notes and get real reads. 200 hands should be more than enough for that.