Re: AJo UTG
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Flop: (X SB) 9, 9, 6 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, MP3 bets, BB calls, Hero calls.
to make it interesting, what number would you say X would have to be to make that flop call?
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Let's look at the hands:
Given this range: JJ-AA, AQs AKs AKo
You have 3 outs vs JJ QQ KK, 3 outs vs AQs and AKs (not [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]) and 3 outs vs AKo. Looks like 3 outs there. If AQs or AKs is diamonds, you have 2 outs and still could be rivered by a diamond (meaning that your "outs" are not wins). And we haven't even talked about BB yet. If BB has a 9, you need runners, if BB has diamonds, then even if Villain doesn't, you have 2 outs.
We could go through and do hand combinations, but I am giving myself < 3 outs here and so I think I'd need 16 or 17SB in pot to even consider it. I think this flop is a very easy fold vs a PF TAG 3 bettor.
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