Thread: Syracuse +34.5?
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Old 11-18-2005, 07:31 PM
humdinger humdinger is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 28
Default Syracuse is the play

I don't post here a lot, but I have thrown a few NFL bets down here, going something like 6-3. I haven't discussed any NCAA plays here at all, but Syracuse is by far the play here.

34.5 is a lot of points, of course. That's a good starting point.

But the real reason is...Navy.

Notre Dame played Navy last week. The week after playing Navy is always a tough week for all teams. Navy employs a lot of cut blocks, and just wears down a defense. Often the week after playing a physical Navy team, practice is worthless.

The best example of this (this year) is Stanford. Stanford is not a worldclass program right now, but they are a talented team. They are good enough to beat UCLA. However, one week after playing Navy, THEY LOST TO DIVISION TWO UC DAVIS.

In fact, nearly every team this year has lost straightup the week after playing Navy (I looked it up last night, I think only one team has won after playing Navy all year. However, I don't know how the ATS performance was).

Lastly, ND is a public team. Fading ND is rarely a bad idea.

hd
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