Re: Fade the public on every game?
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From the way your post is worded, I'm assuming the record is actually 244-222-16, and that the original is a typo?
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Let me clarify.
The record for consensus picks is 222-244-16, that is 222 wins and 244 losses over the past three years. I.e. a 47.6% win rate. I.e. the general public (as measured by wagerline consensus reports) is wrong more often than right. So if you were fading those picks (taking the opposite side) you would have shown a 52.4% win rate... i.e. your win rate for taking the opposite side would have been 244-222-16.
However that 52.4% win rate is not sufficient to outrun the -110 odds you have to lay, therefore its a slight losing action to fade all the picks, albeit a much improved state over taking the consensus picks...
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