View Single Post
  #8  
Old 11-18-2005, 06:15 PM
krimson krimson is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: wwdsd
Posts: 559
Default Re: i don\'t even want this draw anymore (broadway vs. possible full ho

My decision to not raise this for a free card is based on villian's pre-flop statistics. He only raises 3% of his hands, which means his 3-bet from the sb should be taken fairly seriously. Given his likely range (JJ-AA most likely, also TT or AK), the chances of the free card failing I think are pretty high. Against a more regular opponent, I would raise here.

We kind of get sucked into the hand on the turn. Admittedly, I would play the turn/river the same, but I think folding to the sb's c/r on the turn would be a smart move. At that point it's almost a sure thing he has JJ or TT.
Reply With Quote