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Old 11-18-2005, 08:04 AM
pzhon pzhon is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 66
Default Re: Bankroll rush. Do you crush low stakes? Excuse my silliness

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Well then what kind of a win rate is a 4-6bb/100 winning 2k NL player expected to have at 100 NL?

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That depends on how tailored the player's game is to exploit the weaknesses of players at NL 2k, but I would expect that anyone winning 5 PTBB/100 at NL 2k should be able to win more than 10 PTBB/100 at NL 100, over 12 PTBB/100 at NL 50, and over 15 PTBB/100 at NL 25. It's not easy to figure out every player just because he plays for low stakes, but plenty have easily identifiable weaknesses, or seem to hate money.

The variance you should observe depends on your playing style, but it is common to have a SD/100 of 30-70 PTBB. Within 10k hands at NL 100, it becomes a 2 SD event for me to break even or lose.

If you have been beating higher games but have been losing at NL 50, then you probably have some serious leaks in your game that you should be able to identify by looking at how the NL 50 players are outplaying you. Be thankful the higher stakes players have not been exploiting those leaks.
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