[locutus2002]

Hero check raises to T5000 (or twice the pot).

I'm folding to a push, and I'm pushing a diamond/7 on the turn, otherwise shutting down.

My rough breakdown (rough math to follow) is:
30% you are behind
40% there is a quality draw
70% you are ahead

My plan is to c/r out all possible drawing hands because they will not get sufficient implied odds to continue. And then bet the draw if it becomes available on the turn.


Hero is probably no more than 30% in the hand against 6 limpers (I used a wide range: all suited, all ace, all broadway,9, all pairs, and many connectors). Roughly the same as if you were up against 89 (two pair).

About ~1/3 of the time you are behind at the flop.
~50 hands you are behind (AK-AJ, 89,aa,88,99,a8,a9)
X 6 players = 300 hands. Villains are playing a wide range of about 900 hands -- so about 1/3 of the time you are behind after the flop.

The drawing hands:

there are ~60 quality drawing hands (tj,t7,76,!?qj)
So ~40% of the time there is a quality draw.