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Old 11-18-2005, 01:48 AM
Karmadog Karmadog is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 1
Default Re: What are the odds?

[ QUOTE ]
a 6:1 has a probability of 6/7 of not coming in. a 22:1 has a 22/23 probability of not coming in. the probability that neither comes in is (6/7)*(22/23) = 132/161 ~ 82%.

my guess is that you misstated these, and were the favorite in each case... hence there was only about an 18% youd get sucked out on both of these.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, 6-1 and 22-1 favorite of course. Having a bad week and was just venting for the most part. I do know that my chances of losing both in a row are lower than 5% though. How can your chances of losing go up hitting continuous longshots in a row?
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